Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #119

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 984 982.726 (-1.3)
38
-
50
Tie
128 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.7%
Ties
31.2%
P2 Wins
39.1%
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
Player 2
ELO: 956 958 (+1.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 12 points. With 88 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.0 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 54
42.5%
Paper 48
37.8%
Scissors 25
19.7%

GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Rock 23
18.1%
Paper 65
51.2%
Scissors 39
30.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P1
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
P1
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P1
21
P1
22
P2
23
Tie
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P1
28
Tie
29
Tie
30
P2
31
P2
32
P2
33
P2
34
P1
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P2
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P2
45
Tie
46
P2
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P1
56
P2
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P2
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
P1
71
P2
72
P1
73
P2
74
P2
75
Tie
76
P2
77
P2
78
P2
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
P2
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
P1
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P1
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
Tie
96
P1
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
P2
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P2
113
Tie
114
P1
115
P2
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P2
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
P2
124
P1
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
P2

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