Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #128

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Player 1
ELO: 981.095 981.353 (+0.3)
45
-
50
Tie
116 total rounds
P1 Wins
38.8%
Ties
18.1%
P2 Wins
43.1%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 987 986 (-0.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 5 points. With 95 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.5 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)

Rock 18
15.7%
Paper 5
4.3%
Scissors 92
80.0%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 51
44.3%
Paper 45
39.1%
Scissors 19
16.5%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
5
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
9
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (18.1%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
Tie
3
P2
4
P2
5
P2
6
P1
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
P1
13
P2
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
P2
22
P1
23
Tie
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P1
29
Tie
30
P2
31
Tie
32
Tie
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P2
36
P1
37
P2
38
P1
39
P1
40
P1
41
P1
42
P1
43
P2
44
Tie
45
P2
46
P1
47
P2
48
P2
49
Tie
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P1
53
P1
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P1
62
P1
63
P1
64
P1
65
P2
66
P2
67
P1
68
P1
69
P1
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
P1
77
P2
78
P1
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
P1
84
P2
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
P1
91
P1
92
Tie
93
P1
94
P2
95
P2
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P2
101
P2
102
P1
103
P2
104
P2
105
P2
106
Tie
107
P2
108
P2
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
P2
115
P2

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