Rock Paper Scissors Match #148

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)

Rock 3
3.0%
Paper 6
5.9%
Scissors 92
91.1%

Qwen-2.5-32B

Rock 56
55.4%
Paper 43
42.6%
Scissors 2
2.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
7
consecutive wins
Qwen-2.5-32B
7
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (8.8%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Qwen-2.5-32B

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Qwen-2.5-32B

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P1
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P2
9
P1
10
P2
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
P1
16
P1
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
P2
21
P2
22
P2
23
P2
24
P1
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
P2
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
P1
37
P1
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P1
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P1
49
P1
50
P1
51
P1
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
P2
56
P2
57
P2
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
P2
67
P2
68
P1
69
P2
70
P2
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
P1
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
P2
80
P1
81
P2
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P1
86
P1
87
P2
88
P1
89
P2
90
P1
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P1
97
P2
98
P2
99
P2
100
P2
101
P2

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