Rock Paper Scissors Match #160

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 17
14.4%
Paper 58
49.2%
Scissors 43
36.4%

GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Rock 50
42.4%
Paper 32
27.1%
Scissors 36
30.5%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
9
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (19.3%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P1
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P2
8
P2
9
P1
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P1
22
Tie
23
P2
24
P1
25
P1
26
P1
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P1
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P2
38
P2
39
Tie
40
P1
41
P1
42
P1
43
P1
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P2
49
P2
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P2
59
P2
60
P1
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P1
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P1
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P1
76
P2
77
P1
78
P2
79
P2
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P2
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
P1
98
P2
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P2
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P2
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
P1

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