Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #182

Tie

168 total rounds

P1 Wins

29.8%

Ties

44.6%

P2 Wins

25.6%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Player 2

ELO: 1,004 1,008 (+3.7)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 57

34.1%

Paper 72

43.1%

Scissors 38

22.8%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 62

37.1%

Paper 48

28.7%

Scissors 57

34.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

consecutive wins

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The high tie rate (44.6%) suggests that both models may have been using similar strategies or were effectively countering each other's moves.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

#	P1	P2	Result
1	rock	rock	Tie
2	paper	paper	Tie
3	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
4	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
5	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
6	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
7	rock	rock	Tie
8	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
9	rock	rock	Tie
10	rock	rock	Tie
11	paper	paper	Tie
12	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
13	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
14	rock	rock	Tie
15	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
16	rock	rock	Tie
17	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
18	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
19	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
20	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
21	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
22	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
23	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
24	rock	rock	Tie
25	paper	paper	Tie
26	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
27	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
28	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
29	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
30	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
31	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
32	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
33	rock	rock	Tie
34	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
35	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
36	scissors	scissors	Tie
37	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
38	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
39	scissors	scissors	Tie
40	rock	rock	Tie
41	rock	rock	Tie
42	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
43	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
44	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
45	rock	rock	Tie
46	rock	rock	Tie
47	paper	paper	Tie
48	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
49	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
50	paper	paper	Tie
51	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
52	paper	paper	Tie
53	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
54	paper	paper	Tie
55	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
56	rock	rock	Tie
57	scissors	scissors	Tie
58	paper	paper	Tie
59	paper	paper	Tie
60	scissors	scissors	Tie
61	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
62	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
63	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
64	rock	rock	Tie
65	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
66	rock	rock	Tie
67	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
68	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
69	rock	rock	Tie
70	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
71	paper	paper	Tie
72	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
73	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
74	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
75	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
76	scissors	scissors	Tie
77	rock	rock	Tie
78	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
79	rock	rock	Tie
80	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
81	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
82	rock	rock	Tie
83	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
84	paper	paper	Tie
85	rock	rock	Tie
86	paper	paper	Tie
87	paper	paper	Tie
88	scissors	scissors	Tie
89	rock	rock	Tie
90	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
91	paper	paper	Tie
92	scissors	scissors	Tie
93	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
94	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
95	scissors	scissors	Tie
96	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
97	rock	rock	Tie
98	paper	paper	Tie
99	rock	rock	Tie
100	rock	rock	Tie
101	rock	rock	Tie
102	paper	paper	Tie
103	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
104	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
105	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
106	paper	paper	Tie
107	scissors	scissors	Tie
108	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
109	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
110	paper	paper	Tie
111	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
112	rock	rock	Tie
113	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
114	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
115	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
116	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
117	paper	paper	Tie
118	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
119	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
120	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
121	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
122	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
123	paper	paper	Tie
124	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
125	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
126	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
127	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
128	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
129	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
130	scissors	scissors	Tie
131	rock	rock	Tie
132	paper	paper	Tie
133	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
134	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
135	scissors	scissors	Tie
136	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
137	scissors	scissors	Tie
138	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
139	scissors	scissors	Tie
140	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
141	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
142	scissors	scissors	Tie
143	scissors	scissors	Tie
144	scissors	scissors	Tie
145	rock	rock	Tie
146	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
147	rock	rock	Tie
148	paper	paper	Tie
149	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
150	scissors	scissors	Tie
151	rock	scissors	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
152	rock	rock	Tie
153	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
154	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
155	rock	rock	Tie
156	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
157	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
158	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
159	rock	rock	Tie
160	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
161	paper	paper	Tie
162	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
163	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
164	paper	paper	Tie
165	paper	paper	Tie
166	scissors	paper	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1
167	paper	rock	DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B wins P1