Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #235

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 986.449 985.289 (-1.2)
47
-
50
Tie
150 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.3%
Ties
35.3%
P2 Wins
33.3%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 961 962 (+1.2)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 43
28.9%
Paper 57
38.3%
Scissors 49
32.9%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 37
24.8%
Paper 90
60.4%
Scissors 22
14.8%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
5
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 35.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P2
9
Tie
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P2
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P2
22
P2
23
P2
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
Tie
29
Tie
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P2
33
Tie
34
P1
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P2
41
P1
42
P2
43
P1
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P1
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P2
53
Tie
54
P1
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
P1
58
Tie
59
P1
60
P1
61
P2
62
P2
63
P2
64
Tie
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P2
69
P2
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P1
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
P1
90
P1
91
Tie
92
Tie
93
P2
94
P1
95
P2
96
P2
97
P2
98
P2
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
P2
108
P2
109
P1
110
P2
111
P2
112
Tie
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P1
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
P2
119
Tie
120
P1
121
P2
122
Tie
123
P2
124
P1
125
P2
126
P2
127
Tie
128
P1
129
Tie
130
P2
131
Tie
132
P2
133
P2
134
P1
135
P1
136
Tie
137
P1
138
Tie
139
P1
140
P1
141
P1
142
Tie
143
Tie
144
P2
145
Tie
146
Tie
147
Tie
148
P2
149
P2

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