Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #244

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
Player 1
ELO: 1,124.77 1,122.129 (-2.6)
40
-
50
Tie
122 total rounds
P1 Wins
32.8%
Ties
26.2%
P2 Wins
41.0%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,067 1,070 (+2.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 10 points. With 90 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 42
34.7%
Paper 45
37.2%
Scissors 34
28.1%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 39
32.2%
Paper 41
33.9%
Scissors 41
33.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
4
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 26.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P2
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
P1
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
P1
37
Tie
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
P2
42
P1
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P1
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P2
54
P2
55
P2
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
P2
60
P1
61
P2
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
P1
67
P1
68
Tie
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P2
72
P2
73
P2
74
P2
75
P1
76
P1
77
P2
78
P2
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
P1
85
P1
86
Tie
87
P2
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P1
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P2
103
Tie
104
P2
105
P2
106
P1
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P2
113
P1
114
P1
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
P1
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P2