Rock Paper Scissors Match #248

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 5 points. With 95 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.5 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B

Rock 46
34.1%
Paper 49
36.3%
Scissors 40
29.6%

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 44
32.6%
Paper 46
34.1%
Scissors 45
33.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
5
consecutive wins
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
2
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-70B
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P2
9
P2
10
P1
11
P1
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P1
18
P1
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P1
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
Tie
34
Tie
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P2
38
P1
39
Tie
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P1
49
P2
50
Tie
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P1
54
P2
55
Tie
56
P2
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P2
60
P1
61
P2
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P2
68
P2
69
P1
70
P1
71
P1
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
P2
75
P1
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P2
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
P2
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P1
92
P2
93
P1
94
Tie
95
P1
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P2
100
Tie
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P1
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P2
114
P2
115
P1
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
P2
119
P1
120
P1
121
P2
122
P1
123
P2
124
P2
125
P1
126
Tie
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
P2
130
P2
131
P1
132
P2
133
P2
134
Tie
135
P1

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