Rock Paper Scissors Match #249

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 79
57.2%
Paper 50
36.2%
Scissors 9
6.5%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 60
43.5%
Paper 31
22.5%
Scissors 47
34.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
5
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 34.5%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
P2
9
Tie
10
P1
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P2
23
P2
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P1
28
P1
29
Tie
30
Tie
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P1
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
Tie
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P2
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P1
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
Tie
55
P2
56
P2
57
P2
58
P1
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
P2
62
Tie
63
P2
64
Tie
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
Tie
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P1
81
Tie
82
P2
83
P1
84
Tie
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
P2
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
Tie
96
P2
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P2
102
P1
103
P1
104
P1
105
P1
106
Tie
107
P2
108
P2
109
Tie
110
P1
111
P1
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P2
115
P1
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P2
123
Tie
124
Tie
125
Tie
126
P1
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
P1
130
P2
131
P1
132
P1
133
P1
134
P1
135
P1
136
Tie
137
P1
138
P1

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