Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #250

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 1
ELO: 945.742 947.015 (+1.3)
50
-
39
Tie
105 total rounds
P1 Wins
47.6%
Ties
15.2%
P2 Wins
37.1%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 973 972 (-1.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 44
42.3%
Paper 14
13.5%
Scissors 46
44.2%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 4
3.8%
Paper 90
86.5%
Scissors 10
9.6%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
6
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (15.2%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
P2
5
P2
6
P2
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
P2
11
Tie
12
P2
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P2
22
P2
23
P2
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
P2
33
P1
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P1
39
P1
40
P1
41
P1
42
Tie
43
P1
44
P1
45
P1
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
P1
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P1
58
P1
59
Tie
60
P2
61
P1
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P1
70
P1
71
P2
72
P1
73
Tie
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
Tie
78
P2
79
P1
80
P2
81
P1
82
P1
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
P1
88
P1
89
P2
90
P1
91
P1
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
Tie
99
P2
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P1
103
P2
104
P1

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