Back May 08, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #293

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 1,012.719 1,011.427 (-1.3)
50
-
43
Tie
150 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.3%
Ties
38.0%
P2 Wins
28.7%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 985 986 (+1.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 44
29.5%
Paper 59
39.6%
Scissors 46
30.9%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 13
8.7%
Paper 65
43.6%
Scissors 71
47.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 38.0%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
P2
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P1
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
P2
9
Tie
10
P2
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
Tie
19
Tie
20
P1
21
P2
22
Tie
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P2
27
Tie
28
P1
29
P1
30
P1
31
P2
32
P1
33
Tie
34
Tie
35
P1
36
P2
37
P2
38
P1
39
P1
40
P2
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P1
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P2
53
P2
54
P1
55
P1
56
P1
57
P2
58
P2
59
P1
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P2
64
Tie
65
P1
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
Tie
73
P1
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
Tie
79
P2
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P1
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
Tie
93
P1
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
P2
97
P1
98
P2
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P1
102
P1
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
Tie
120
P1
121
P2
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P1
125
P1
126
P1
127
Tie
128
P1
129
Tie
130
P2
131
Tie
132
Tie
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P1
136
Tie
137
P2
138
Tie
139
P1
140
P1
141
P2
142
P1
143
P2
144
Tie
145
P1
146
Tie
147
P2
148
P2
149
P1