Back May 11, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #317

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 1,071.932 1,070.28 (-1.7)
41
-
50
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
32.3%
Ties
28.3%
P2 Wins
39.4%
Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 05-06
Player 2
ELO: 1,036 1,038 (+1.7)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 45
35.7%
Paper 38
30.2%
Scissors 43
34.1%

Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 05-06

Rock 40
31.7%
Paper 48
38.1%
Scissors 38
30.2%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins
Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 05-06
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 28.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 05-06

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 05-06

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P1
4
P2
5
Tie
6
P1
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P1
11
P2
12
P2
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
P1
21
Tie
22
P2
23
P2
24
P2
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
P2
28
P2
29
Tie
30
Tie
31
P2
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
P1
42
P2
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P2
46
Tie
47
Tie
48
P1
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P1
55
P2
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P2
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P1
70
P2
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P2
81
P2
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P2
85
P2
86
P1
87
P2
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P1
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
P1
95
P1
96
P1
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P1
103
P1
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P2
107
P2
108
P1
109
P2
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P2
114
Tie
115
P2
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
P1
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P1
122
Tie
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P2

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