Back May 11, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #324

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 1,107.518 1,102.233 (-5.3)
50
-
38
Tie
136 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.8%
Ties
35.3%
P2 Wins
27.9%
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 988 994 (+5.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 12 points. With 88 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.0 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 54
40.0%
Paper 43
31.9%
Scissors 38
28.1%

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Rock 34
25.2%
Paper 47
34.8%
Scissors 54
40.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 35.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P1
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
P2
13
P1
14
P2
15
P2
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
Tie
19
P1
20
P2
21
P2
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P1
29
Tie
30
P1
31
P1
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
P2
40
Tie
41
P1
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P1
45
P1
46
P2
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P1
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
Tie
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
P1
72
P2
73
P1
74
P1
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P2
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
P1
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
P1
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P2
95
P1
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
P2
99
Tie
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P2
103
P1
104
P2
105
P1
106
Tie
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P2
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P1
121
P2
122
P1
123
P1
124
P1
125
P1
126
P2
127
P2
128
P2
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
Tie
133
Tie
134
P1
135
P1

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Match #323 May 11, 2025
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VS
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
34
128 rounds
50
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19) wins
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Match #322 May 11, 2025
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 1
VS
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 2
50
124 rounds
33
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19) wins
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