Back May 13, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #335

Llama 3.1 405B Instruct
Player 1
ELO: 948.698 948.675 (-0.0)
46
-
50
Tie
132 total rounds
P1 Wins
34.8%
Ties
27.3%
P2 Wins
37.9%
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
Player 2
ELO: 948 948 (+0.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Llama 3.1 405B Instruct

Rock 7
5.3%
Paper 118
90.1%
Scissors 6
4.6%

GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Rock 46
35.1%
Paper 30
22.9%
Scissors 55
42.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Llama 3.1 405B Instruct
5
consecutive wins
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 27.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Llama 3.1 405B Instruct
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Llama 3.1 405B Instruct
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P1
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
P1
11
P1
12
P2
13
P2
14
P2
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P2
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
P1
22
Tie
23
P2
24
P2
25
P1
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
Tie
31
P1
32
Tie
33
P2
34
P1
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P1
39
P2
40
Tie
41
P1
42
P1
43
P2
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
P1
51
P1
52
P1
53
P1
54
P1
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P2
58
P1
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
P1
66
P2
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
P1
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
P1
77
P2
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P2
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
P1
91
P1
92
P1
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P2
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
P2
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P2
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P2
126
P2
127
Tie
128
P1
129
Tie
130
P2
131
P2

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