Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #351

o3 high (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,031.567 1,034.174 (+2.6)
50
-
48
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.4%
Ties
22.8%
P2 Wins
37.8%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,089 1,086 (-2.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3 high (2025-04-16)

Rock 45
35.7%
Paper 37
29.4%
Scissors 44
34.9%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 42
33.3%
Paper 42
33.3%
Scissors 42
33.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3 high (2025-04-16)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 22.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3 high (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3 high (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P2
8
P1
9
Tie
10
P2
11
Tie
12
P1
13
P1
14
P2
15
P1
16
P2
17
Tie
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P1
22
P1
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P1
26
Tie
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P1
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P1
37
P1
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P1
44
P1
45
P2
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P1
50
P1
51
Tie
52
P1
53
P1
54
P2
55
P2
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
P2
62
P1
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P2
70
P2
71
P2
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P1
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P1
80
Tie
81
P2
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
P2
88
Tie
89
P1
90
P1
91
P1
92
Tie
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
P1
97
P2
98
P2
99
P2
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P1
103
P1
104
P2
105
P1
106
P2
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P1
110
Tie
111
P2
112
P2
113
P2
114
P1
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P2
118
P2
119
P1
120
Tie
121
P2
122
P1
123
P1
124
P2
125
P1
126
P1