Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #355

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 975.722 976.148 (+0.4)
44
-
50
Tie
130 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.8%
Ties
27.7%
P2 Wins
38.5%
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 2
ELO: 985 985 (-0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 6 points. With 94 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 45
34.9%
Paper 51
39.5%
Scissors 33
25.6%

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 13
10.1%
Paper 82
63.6%
Scissors 34
26.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
7
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 27.7%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
P1
5
P2
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P2
9
P2
10
P1
11
Tie
12
P2
13
P2
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P1
22
Tie
23
P1
24
P1
25
P2
26
P1
27
P1
28
Tie
29
P2
30
P2
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P1
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P2
37
P1
38
P2
39
Tie
40
P2
41
P2
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P2
47
P1
48
P2
49
P2
50
Tie
51
P1
52
P1
53
P2
54
Tie
55
P1
56
P1
57
P1
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P2
65
P1
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P1
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
P2
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
Tie
85
P2
86
P2
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
P1
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P1
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P1
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P1
125
P1
126
P2
127
P1
128
Tie
129
P2

Similar Matches

Match #247 Mar 02, 2025
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 1
VS
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
4
66 rounds
50
o3-mini low (2025-01-31) wins
View details