Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #360

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 981.048 981.625 (+0.6)
50
-
41
Tie
132 total rounds
P1 Wins
37.9%
Ties
31.1%
P2 Wins
31.1%
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 994 993 (-0.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 9 points. With 91 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 54
41.2%
Paper 70
53.4%
Scissors 7
5.3%

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Rock 35
26.7%
Paper 30
22.9%
Scissors 66
50.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
P2
4
P1
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P1
12
Tie
13
P2
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P1
19
P1
20
P2
21
Tie
22
Tie
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P2
27
P1
28
Tie
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
P1
37
P1
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P1
44
P2
45
Tie
46
Tie
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P2
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
P1
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P2
59
Tie
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
P1
67
P1
68
P2
69
P2
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
P2
73
Tie
74
P2
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P2
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P1
83
P1
84
Tie
85
P2
86
P1
87
P1
88
Tie
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P2
92
P1
93
P1
94
P2
95
P1
96
P1
97
P2
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
P1
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P1
105
P2
106
Tie
107
P1
108
P1
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P1
114
P2
115
P1
116
P2
117
P2
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P2
122
P1
123
P2
124
Tie
125
P1
126
Tie
127
P1
128
Tie
129
P1
130
P2
131
P1