Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #366

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,025.749 1,022.237 (-3.5)
50
-
39
Tie
126 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.7%
Ties
29.4%
P2 Wins
31.0%
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
Player 2
ELO: 948 952 (+3.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Rock 16
12.8%
Paper 11
8.8%
Scissors 98
78.4%

GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Rock 30
24.0%
Paper 57
45.6%
Scissors 38
30.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
5
consecutive wins
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
Tie
8
P1
9
Tie
10
P2
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
P1
22
P1
23
Tie
24
P2
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P1
34
P1
35
P2
36
P1
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P1
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P2
47
P1
48
P2
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
P2
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P2
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
P1
77
Tie
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
Tie
85
P1
86
P1
87
P1
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P1
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
Tie
97
P1
98
P2
99
P1
100
P1
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P2
105
P1
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P2
110
P1
111
P1
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P1
117
P2
118
P1
119
P2
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P2
123
P1
124
P1
125
P1

Similar Matches

Match #367 May 14, 2025
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
VS
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
Player 2
50
119 rounds
35
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16) wins
View details