Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #383

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,014.542 1,014.157 (-0.4)
50
-
48
Tie
144 total rounds
P1 Wins
34.7%
Ties
31.9%
P2 Wins
33.3%
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 1,006 1,007 (+0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 75
52.4%
Paper 48
33.6%
Scissors 20
14.0%

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Rock 46
32.2%
Paper 27
18.9%
Scissors 70
49.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.9%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P2
7
P1
8
P1
9
P1
10
P2
11
P2
12
P1
13
P1
14
P2
15
P1
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P2
22
P1
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
Tie
33
Tie
34
P1
35
P1
36
P2
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
P1
40
Tie
41
P1
42
Tie
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P1
46
P1
47
P2
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P2
56
P1
57
P1
58
P1
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P1
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
Tie
74
P2
75
P1
76
P1
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
P2
83
Tie
84
Tie
85
P1
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P2
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P1
100
P2
101
P2
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P1
105
P2
106
P1
107
P1
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P1
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
P2
117
Tie
118
P2
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P1
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P2
126
P1
127
P1
128
Tie
129
P2
130
P1
131
P1
132
P1
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P2
136
P2
137
Tie
138
P1
139
P1
140
P2
141
P2
142
P1
143
P1