Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #415

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 1,002.176 1,002.271 (+0.1)
40
-
50
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.5%
Ties
29.1%
P2 Wins
39.4%
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,004 1,004 (-0.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 10 points. With 90 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 43
34.1%
Paper 53
42.1%
Scissors 30
23.8%

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 19
15.1%
Paper 34
27.0%
Scissors 73
57.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
Tie
4
P1
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P1
12
P2
13
P2
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P1
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P2
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P2
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P1
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P2
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P2
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
P1
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P1
66
P2
67
P1
68
P1
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P1
72
P1
73
P2
74
P2
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P2
79
P2
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P1
89
P2
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P1
94
P1
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
Tie
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
P2
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
P2
114
P2
115
P1
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
P2
123
P2
124
P1
125
Tie
126
P2