Back May 15, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #422

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 1,099.581 1,097.043 (-2.5)
48
-
50
Tie
142 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.8%
Ties
31.0%
P2 Wins
35.2%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
Player 2
ELO: 1,044 1,047 (+2.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 2 points. With 98 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.7 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 69
48.9%
Paper 22
15.6%
Scissors 50
35.5%

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 38
27.0%
Paper 49
34.8%
Scissors 54
38.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.0%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P1
4
Tie
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P1
8
P1
9
P2
10
Tie
11
P2
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P2
24
P2
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P2
39
P2
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P1
43
P1
44
P1
45
P2
46
P2
47
P1
48
P2
49
P2
50
Tie
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P2
58
P1
59
P2
60
Tie
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P2
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
P1
68
P1
69
P2
70
P2
71
Tie
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
P1
75
P1
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
P1
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P1
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P1
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P1
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P2
110
P2
111
P1
112
P1
113
P1
114
P2
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
P2
120
Tie
121
P2
122
P1
123
P2
124
P1
125
P1
126
P1
127
P1
128
P2
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
P2
132
P2
133
P1
134
P2
135
P2
136
P2
137
P1
138
P1
139
Tie
140
Tie
141
P2