Back May 19, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #434

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 991.109 996.392 (+5.3)
47
-
50
Tie
129 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.4%
Ties
24.8%
P2 Wins
38.8%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,110 1,105 (-5.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 35
27.3%
Paper 54
42.2%
Scissors 39
30.5%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 55
43.0%
Paper 17
13.3%
Scissors 56
43.8%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
8
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 24.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P1
4
P1
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P2
8
P2
9
P2
10
P2
11
P1
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
Tie
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P2
24
P1
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P2
35
P2
36
P1
37
Tie
38
P2
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
P1
51
P2
52
P2
53
P1
54
Tie
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P1
59
Tie
60
P1
61
Tie
62
P2
63
P1
64
Tie
65
P2
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P2
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
Tie
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P1
83
P1
84
P2
85
P1
86
Tie
87
P2
88
Tie
89
P1
90
P2
91
P2
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
P2
96
P1
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P1
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P2
103
P1
104
Tie
105
P2
106
Tie
107
P1
108
P1
109
P1
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P1
114
P2
115
Tie
116
P2
117
P2
118
P1
119
P2
120
P1
121
P2
122
P2
123
P2
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P1
127
P1
128
P2

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