Back May 20, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #444

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,036.975 1,032.576 (-4.4)
50
-
39
Tie
133 total rounds
P1 Wins
37.6%
Ties
33.1%
P2 Wins
29.3%
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
Player 2
ELO: 939 943 (+4.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 59
44.7%
Paper 24
18.2%
Scissors 49
37.1%

GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Rock 27
20.5%
Paper 42
31.8%
Scissors 63
47.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
5
consecutive wins
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 33.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini low (2025-04-16)
GPT-3.5 turbo (0125)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P1
5
P2
6
P1
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P1
10
Tie
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
Tie
16
P1
17
Tie
18
Tie
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P2
24
P1
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
Tie
29
Tie
30
P1
31
P1
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P2
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P2
41
P1
42
P2
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
Tie
46
P1
47
P2
48
P2
49
P1
50
P2
51
P1
52
P2
53
P2
54
P2
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P1
58
Tie
59
Tie
60
P2
61
P2
62
Tie
63
P2
64
P1
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P2
69
P2
70
Tie
71
P2
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
P1
75
P1
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
P2
80
P1
81
P1
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P1
85
P1
86
P2
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P2
93
P1
94
P2
95
P1
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
P1
99
Tie
100
P1
101
P1
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
P2
109
P1
110
Tie
111
P2
112
P1
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P1
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P2
121
P2
122
P2
123
P1
124
P1
125
P1
126
P2
127
P1
128
P2
129
P2
130
Tie
131
P1
132
P1