Back May 20, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #450

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
Player 1
ELO: 1,006.883 1,008.199 (+1.3)
38
-
50
Tie
121 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.4%
Ties
27.3%
P2 Wins
41.3%
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 2
ELO: 1,036 1,034 (-1.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 12 points. With 88 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.0 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 39
32.5%
Paper 50
41.7%
Scissors 31
25.8%

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Rock 15
12.5%
Paper 53
44.2%
Scissors 52
43.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
3
consecutive wins
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 27.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
P1
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P2
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
P2
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
Tie
16
P1
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P2
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P1
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P1
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P1
49
P2
50
P2
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P2
55
P2
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P1
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P2
65
P1
66
Tie
67
P2
68
Tie
69
Tie
70
P2
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
Tie
75
P2
76
P2
77
P1
78
Tie
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P2
82
P1
83
P2
84
P2
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P1
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
P2
98
P1
99
P2
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P1
103
P1
104
P2
105
P2
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P1
110
P1
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P1
114
P2
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P2