Rock Paper Scissors Match #456

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 40
23.5%
Paper 75
44.1%
Scissors 55
32.4%

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 20
11.8%
Paper 113
66.5%
Scissors 37
21.8%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The high tie rate (45.6%) suggests that both models may have been using similar strategies or were effectively countering each other's moves.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P2
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
P1
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P1
15
P2
16
P2
17
P1
18
Tie
19
P1
20
P2
21
P1
22
P1
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P1
31
P2
32
Tie
33
Tie
34
P2
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P2
38
P2
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
P2
43
P1
44
P2
45
Tie
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P2
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P2
58
P2
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P2
62
Tie
63
P1
64
P1
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P2
70
Tie
71
P1
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P2
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
P2
78
Tie
79
P1
80
Tie
81
Tie
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P1
87
Tie
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P2
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
P2
96
Tie
97
P1
98
P2
99
Tie
100
Tie
101
P2
102
P1
103
P2
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P2
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P1
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
P1
121
Tie
122
Tie
123
P1
124
P1
125
P1
126
Tie
127
P1
128
P1
129
Tie
130
P1
131
Tie
132
Tie
133
Tie
134
Tie
135
Tie
136
Tie
137
Tie
138
Tie
139
P1
140
P2
141
P1
142
Tie
143
P2
144
P1
145
P1
146
P1
147
P1
148
P2
149
Tie
150
Tie
151
Tie
152
Tie
153
P1
154
P1
155
Tie
156
P1
157
Tie
158
P1
159
Tie
160
P2
161
Tie
162
Tie
163
P2
164
Tie
165
P1
166
P1
167
P1
168
P1
169
Tie
170
P1