Rock Paper Scissors Match #466

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 1 points. With 99 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.8 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Rock 39
30.7%
Paper 82
64.6%
Scissors 6
4.7%

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 34
26.8%
Paper 27
21.3%
Scissors 66
52.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
2
consecutive wins
o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 22.7%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
O1-mini (2024-09-12)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
P1
4
P2
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P1
8
P2
9
P1
10
P1
11
Tie
12
P1
13
P1
14
Tie
15
P1
16
P2
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P2
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P1
39
P2
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
P2
44
P2
45
P1
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
P1
51
P2
52
P2
53
P2
54
P1
55
P1
56
P2
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
P2
62
P1
63
P1
64
Tie
65
P2
66
P1
67
P1
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P2
73
P2
74
P2
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P2
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P1
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P1
88
P2
89
P2
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
P1
97
P2
98
P1
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
P1
106
Tie
107
P2
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
P1
111
P2
112
Tie
113
P2
114
Tie
115
P2
116
P2
117
Tie
118
P2
119
P1
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P2
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P1

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