Back May 20, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #470

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,076.912 1,078.845 (+1.9)
40
-
50
Tie
128 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.2%
Ties
29.7%
P2 Wins
39.1%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,119 1,117 (-1.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 10 points. With 90 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.2 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)

Rock 45
35.4%
Paper 45
35.4%
Scissors 37
29.1%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Rock 41
32.3%
Paper 43
33.9%
Scissors 43
33.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.7%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
P2
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P2
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
P2
14
P2
15
P2
16
P1
17
P2
18
Tie
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
Tie
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
P1
35
Tie
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P2
39
P1
40
Tie
41
P1
42
Tie
43
Tie
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P1
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
P1
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P2
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P1
82
Tie
83
P2
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
Tie
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P1
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
P2
102
P1
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
P2
113
P1
114
P2
115
P2
116
Tie
117
P2
118
P1
119
P1
120
Tie
121
P2
122
P2
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P1
127
P2

Similar Matches

Match #443 May 20, 2025
o4-mini medium (2025-04-16)
Player 1
VS
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19)
Player 2
36
110 rounds
50
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking (2025-02-19) wins
View details