Back May 20, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #477

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
Player 1
ELO: 818.949 825.47 (+6.5)
50
-
44
Tie
106 total rounds
P1 Wins
47.2%
Ties
11.3%
P2 Wins
41.5%
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 969 963 (-6.5)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 6 points. With 94 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)

Rock 16
15.2%
Paper 2
1.9%
Scissors 87
82.9%

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Rock 42
40.0%
Paper 61
58.1%
Scissors 2
1.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
6
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (11.3%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Llama 3.0 70B (8192)
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
Tie
4
P1
5
P2
6
P1
7
P1
8
P2
9
P2
10
P2
11
P2
12
P1
13
P2
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
P1
20
P2
21
P1
22
P1
23
P2
24
P2
25
P1
26
P2
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P1
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P2
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
Tie
38
P1
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P2
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P1
47
P1
48
P1
49
P2
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
P1
54
P2
55
P1
56
P1
57
P2
58
P2
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P2
66
P1
67
P2
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
Tie
75
P1
76
P2
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P1
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
P1
95
P1
96
P1
97
P2
98
P1
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
P1
103
P1
104
P1
105
P1