Rock Paper Scissors Match #480

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 4 points. With 96 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 50
37.0%
Paper 31
23.0%
Scissors 54
40.0%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 56
41.5%
Paper 60
44.4%
Scissors 19
14.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P1
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P1
11
P2
12
Tie
13
P2
14
P2
15
P1
16
P1
17
P1
18
P1
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P2
23
P1
24
P1
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P2
36
P2
37
P1
38
P1
39
P1
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P2
46
P2
47
P2
48
P1
49
P1
50
P1
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P2
54
Tie
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P1
58
Tie
59
Tie
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P1
63
P1
64
P1
65
P2
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P1
69
P2
70
Tie
71
P2
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
P1
78
P2
79
Tie
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
P1
84
P2
85
P1
86
Tie
87
P1
88
Tie
89
P2
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
Tie
93
P1
94
P1
95
Tie
96
P2
97
P1
98
Tie
99
P2
100
P1
101
Tie
102
P2
103
P1
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
P2
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P2
113
P2
114
P1
115
P1
116
P2
117
P1
118
P1
119
Tie
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P2
126
P1
127
P2
128
P2
129
Tie
130
P2
131
P1
132
Tie
133
Tie
134
P2
135
P2

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