Back May 24, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #507

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
Player 1
ELO: 1,001.226 1,002.162 (+0.9)
50
-
39
Tie
134 total rounds
P1 Wins
37.3%
Ties
33.6%
P2 Wins
29.1%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,022 1,021 (-0.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)

Rock 36
27.1%
Paper 41
30.8%
Scissors 56
42.1%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 39
29.3%
Paper 70
52.6%
Scissors 24
18.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
4
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 33.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P2
7
P2
8
P2
9
Tie
10
P1
11
P1
12
P2
13
P1
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P1
17
P2
18
Tie
19
P2
20
P1
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P1
24
P1
25
P2
26
P2
27
P2
28
P1
29
Tie
30
P2
31
P1
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P2
39
P1
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P1
43
P1
44
Tie
45
Tie
46
P1
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P1
51
P1
52
P1
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P1
57
P2
58
Tie
59
P2
60
P2
61
P2
62
P1
63
P2
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
P2
68
P1
69
Tie
70
Tie
71
P2
72
Tie
73
P1
74
P1
75
P1
76
P1
77
P2
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P2
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P1
87
P1
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P1
94
P2
95
P2
96
P1
97
Tie
98
Tie
99
P1
100
Tie
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P2
105
Tie
106
Tie
107
P1
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P2
113
P2
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P2
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P1
125
P2
126
P1
127
Tie
128
P1
129
P2
130
P1
131
Tie
132
P2
133
P1