Back May 25, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #523

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Player 1
ELO: 1,019.068 1,018.827 (-0.2)
42
-
50
Tie
132 total rounds
P1 Wins
31.8%
Ties
30.3%
P2 Wins
37.9%
Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
Player 2
ELO: 1,014 1,014 (+0.2)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 8 points. With 92 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.3 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)

Rock 39
29.8%
Paper 39
29.8%
Scissors 53
40.5%

Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)

Rock 46
35.1%
Paper 50
38.2%
Scissors 35
26.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
3
consecutive wins
Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Claude Sonnet 4 (2025-05-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
P1
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P1
8
P1
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
P1
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P2
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P2
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
P1
33
P2
34
P2
35
P2
36
P2
37
P1
38
P2
39
P2
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P1
44
P1
45
Tie
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P2
49
P1
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P2
54
P2
55
Tie
56
P2
57
P2
58
P1
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P1
65
Tie
66
P2
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
P1
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P1
87
P2
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P1
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
P2
96
P1
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P1
100
Tie
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
P2
114
P2
115
P2
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
Tie
122
P1
123
Tie
124
P2
125
P1
126
P2
127
P2
128
P2
129
P1
130
Tie
131
P2