Back May 25, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #533

Tie

127 total rounds

P1 Wins

30.7%

Ties

29.9%

P2 Wins

39.4%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Player 2

ELO: 993 993 (+0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)

Rock 56

44.4%

Paper 31

24.6%

Scissors 39

31.0%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 39

31.0%

Paper 42

33.3%

Scissors 45

35.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o4-mini high (2025-04-16)

consecutive wins

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.9%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O4-mini high (2025-04-16)

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

#	P1	P2	Result
1	rock	rock	Tie
2	paper	paper	Tie
3	rock	rock	Tie
4	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
5	paper	paper	Tie
6	paper	paper	Tie
7	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
8	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
9	scissors	scissors	Tie
10	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
11	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
12	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
13	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
14	paper	paper	Tie
15	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
16	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
17	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
18	paper	paper	Tie
19	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
20	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
21	paper	paper	Tie
22	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
23	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
24	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
25	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
26	scissors	scissors	Tie
27	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
28	scissors	scissors	Tie
29	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
30	scissors	scissors	Tie
31	rock	rock	Tie
32	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
33	rock	rock	Tie
34	scissors	scissors	Tie
35	paper	paper	Tie
36	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
37	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
38	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
39	rock	rock	Tie
40	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
41	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
42	scissors	scissors	Tie
43	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
44	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
45	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
46	scissors	scissors	Tie
47	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
48	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
49	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
50	paper	paper	Tie
51	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
52	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
53	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
54	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
55	paper	paper	Tie
56	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
57	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
58	paper	scissors	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
59	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
60	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
61	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
62	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
63	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
64	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
65	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
66	rock	rock	Tie
67	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
68	rock	rock	Tie
69	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
70	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
71	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
72	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
73	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
74	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
75	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
76	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
77	rock	rock	Tie
78	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
79	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
80	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
81	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
82	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
83	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
84	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
85	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
86	scissors	scissors	Tie
87	paper	paper	Tie
88	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
89	rock	rock	Tie
90	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
91	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
92	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
93	scissors	scissors	Tie
94	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
95	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
96	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
97	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
98	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
99	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
100	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
101	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
102	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
103	paper	rock	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
104	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
105	rock	rock	Tie
106	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
107	scissors	scissors	Tie
108	paper	paper	Tie
109	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
110	scissors	paper	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
111	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
112	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
113	scissors	scissors	Tie
114	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
115	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
116	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
117	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
118	scissors	rock	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
119	rock	rock	Tie
120	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2
121	rock	rock	Tie
122	scissors	scissors	Tie
123	rock	rock	Tie
124	paper	paper	Tie
125	rock	scissors	o4-mini high (2025-04-16) wins P1
126	rock	paper	GPT-4o (2024-11-20) wins P2