Back May 27, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #562

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,033.718 1,031.356 (-2.4)
50
-
45
Tie
129 total rounds
P1 Wins
38.8%
Ties
26.4%
P2 Wins
34.9%
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 982 984 (+2.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 5 points. With 95 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.5 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 79
61.7%
Paper 23
18.0%
Scissors 26
20.3%

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Rock 28
21.9%
Paper 49
38.3%
Scissors 51
39.8%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
6
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 26.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P2
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P1
15
P1
16
P2
17
Tie
18
Tie
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P1
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P2
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P2
37
P1
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P2
41
P1
42
P1
43
P1
44
P2
45
P2
46
P2
47
Tie
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
P1
52
P2
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P2
56
P1
57
P2
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
P2
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
P2
66
P2
67
P2
68
P1
69
Tie
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
Tie
73
P2
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
P1
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P2
81
P2
82
P1
83
Tie
84
P1
85
P1
86
P2
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P2
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P2
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
P1
105
P1
106
P1
107
P1
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P1
114
P1
115
P2
116
P1
117
P2
118
P1
119
P2
120
P1
121
Tie
122
P1
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P1
126
P1
127
Tie
128
P1