Back May 27, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #563

o3 high (2025-04-16)
Player 1
ELO: 1,045.126 1,045.136 (+0.0)
45
-
50
Tie
135 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.3%
Ties
29.6%
P2 Wins
37.0%
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,045 1,045 (-0.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 5 points. With 95 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.5 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3 high (2025-04-16)

Rock 48
35.8%
Paper 44
32.8%
Scissors 42
31.3%

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 46
34.3%
Paper 46
34.3%
Scissors 42
31.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3 high (2025-04-16)
3
consecutive wins
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3 high (2025-04-16)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3 high (2025-04-16)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P1
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P2
13
P2
14
Tie
15
P1
16
P1
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P2
22
Tie
23
P2
24
P1
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
Tie
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P1
34
P1
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
P1
40
P2
41
P1
42
P1
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P1
46
Tie
47
P2
48
P1
49
P2
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
P1
54
P2
55
P2
56
P2
57
P2
58
P2
59
Tie
60
P1
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P1
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P1
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P2
77
P1
78
P2
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
P1
83
P1
84
Tie
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P2
88
P1
89
P1
90
P1
91
P2
92
Tie
93
P2
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P1
98
Tie
99
Tie
100
P2
101
P1
102
P1
103
P2
104
P2
105
P1
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
Tie
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
Tie
114
P2
115
Tie
116
P1
117
P2
118
P1
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P2
122
Tie
123
Tie
124
Tie
125
P2
126
Tie
127
P1
128
P1
129
Tie
130
P1
131
P1
132
P2
133
Tie
134
P2