Back May 27, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #565

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Player 1
ELO: 1,028.283 1,028.401 (+0.1)
50
-
47
Tie
143 total rounds
P1 Wins
35.0%
Ties
32.2%
P2 Wins
32.9%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
Player 2
ELO: 1,031 1,031 (-0.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)

Rock 78
54.9%
Paper 16
11.3%
Scissors 48
33.8%

Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Rock 31
21.8%
Paper 50
35.2%
Scissors 61
43.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
3
consecutive wins
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 32.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude Sonnet 4 Thinking (2025-05-14)
Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview High 04-17

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
P1
4
P2
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
P1
13
Tie
14
P2
15
P2
16
P2
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
P2
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P1
24
P1
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P2
29
P1
30
P1
31
P1
32
P2
33
P1
34
Tie
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P1
38
P2
39
P2
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P1
46
Tie
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P1
50
Tie
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P1
58
Tie
59
P2
60
P2
61
P1
62
P1
63
Tie
64
P1
65
Tie
66
P2
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
P1
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
P1
77
Tie
78
P2
79
P1
80
Tie
81
P2
82
P2
83
P1
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
Tie
87
P1
88
Tie
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P1
95
P2
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P1
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
P2
103
Tie
104
P2
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P2
112
P2
113
Tie
114
Tie
115
P2
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
P2
120
Tie
121
P1
122
Tie
123
P2
124
P2
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P1
128
P1
129
P2
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
P1
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P1
136
Tie
137
P2
138
P1
139
P1
140
P2
141
P2
142
P1