Back May 28, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #567

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
Player 1
ELO: 987.996 990.613 (+2.6)
47
-
50
Tie
143 total rounds
P1 Wins
32.9%
Ties
32.2%
P2 Wins
35.0%
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,045 1,043 (-2.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)

Rock 53
37.3%
Paper 37
26.1%
Scissors 52
36.6%

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 69
48.6%
Paper 59
41.5%
Scissors 14
9.9%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
7
consecutive wins
o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 32.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4.1 (2025-04-14)
O3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
Tie
4
P2
5
P1
6
P1
7
P1
8
P1
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P2
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P1
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
Tie
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
P2
40
Tie
41
Tie
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P2
45
Tie
46
P2
47
Tie
48
Tie
49
P2
50
P2
51
Tie
52
Tie
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P2
56
P1
57
P2
58
Tie
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
P2
67
P1
68
P2
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
P2
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
P2
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P2
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
P2
86
Tie
87
Tie
88
P1
89
Tie
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
Tie
93
P1
94
Tie
95
Tie
96
Tie
97
P2
98
P1
99
P1
100
P1
101
Tie
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
P1
106
Tie
107
P2
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P2
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
Tie
119
P1
120
P2
121
Tie
122
Tie
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P2
126
P1
127
Tie
128
P1
129
P1
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
P1
133
P1
134
P2
135
P1
136
P2
137
P2
138
P1
139
P2
140
P2
141
P1
142
P2