Back May 28, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #570

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 1,107.167 1,103.228 (-3.9)
50
-
43
Tie
140 total rounds
P1 Wins
35.7%
Ties
33.6%
P2 Wins
30.7%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 1,020 1,024 (+3.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)

Rock 22
15.8%
Paper 58
41.7%
Scissors 59
42.4%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 52
37.4%
Paper 56
40.3%
Scissors 31
22.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini high (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
2
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 33.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini high (2025-01-31)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P2
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P2
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
P1
18
P1
19
Tie
20
P2
21
Tie
22
Tie
23
P2
24
P2
25
P1
26
P1
27
Tie
28
Tie
29
P1
30
P1
31
P2
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P1
36
P2
37
P2
38
Tie
39
P2
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P2
43
Tie
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P1
47
P2
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
P1
56
P1
57
Tie
58
P2
59
P1
60
P1
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
P1
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P1
72
P1
73
P1
74
P2
75
P2
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P1
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
Tie
85
P2
86
P1
87
P2
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P1
92
P1
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
Tie
100
Tie
101
P2
102
P1
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
P1
106
P1
107
P2
108
P1
109
P2
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
P1
114
P1
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
Tie
118
P2
119
P1
120
Tie
121
P2
122
Tie
123
P1
124
Tie
125
Tie
126
P1
127
P2
128
Tie
129
P2
130
Tie
131
P1
132
P1
133
P2
134
P2
135
P1
136
P1
137
Tie
138
P1
139
P1