Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #129

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
ELO: 1,003.513 1,003.086 (-0.4)
49
-
50
Tie
123 total rounds
P1 Wins
39.8%
Ties
19.5%
P2 Wins
40.7%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 994 995 (+0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 1 points. With 99 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.8 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 44
36.1%
Paper 8
6.6%
Scissors 70
57.4%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 42
34.4%
Paper 77
63.1%
Scissors 3
2.5%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
4
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (19.5%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P2
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
Tie
6
P1
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
P2
13
P1
14
P2
15
P1
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P1
23
P1
24
P2
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P1
36
P2
37
P2
38
P1
39
P1
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P1
44
P1
45
P1
46
P1
47
P2
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
P1
51
P1
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P2
55
P2
56
P1
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
Tie
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P2
70
P2
71
P1
72
Tie
73
Tie
74
P2
75
P2
76
P1
77
P1
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P1
81
Tie
82
P2
83
P2
84
P2
85
P1
86
P1
87
P2
88
P2
89
Tie
90
P1
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P1
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P2
100
Tie
101
P1
102
P2
103
P2
104
P1
105
P1
106
P2
107
P1
108
P1
109
Tie
110
P2
111
P1
112
P2
113
P1
114
P1
115
Tie
116
P2
117
P2
118
P1
119
Tie
120
P2
121
P1
122
P2

Similar Matches

Match #260 Mar 03, 2025
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
VS
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
43
144 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details
Match #177 Mar 02, 2025
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
VS
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
44
122 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details
Match #133 Mar 02, 2025
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
VS
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
43
127 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details