Back May 13, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #339

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 987.567 990.715 (+3.1)
42
-
50
Tie
151 total rounds
P1 Wins
27.8%
Ties
39.1%
P2 Wins
33.1%
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
ELO: 1,057 1,054 (-3.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 8 points. With 92 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.3 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 46
30.7%
Paper 75
50.0%
Scissors 29
19.3%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 54
36.0%
Paper 54
36.0%
Scissors 42
28.0%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 39.1%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
Tie
6
Tie
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P2
11
P2
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P1
17
P2
18
P1
19
P1
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P2
23
Tie
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
P2
27
Tie
28
P1
29
P2
30
Tie
31
P1
32
Tie
33
Tie
34
Tie
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
P2
39
P1
40
Tie
41
P1
42
P2
43
P1
44
P1
45
Tie
46
P2
47
P2
48
Tie
49
Tie
50
P2
51
Tie
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P1
56
P1
57
P2
58
Tie
59
Tie
60
P2
61
P2
62
P1
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
P2
67
Tie
68
P1
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P2
73
P2
74
Tie
75
P1
76
P2
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P2
81
P2
82
P1
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
Tie
92
P2
93
P1
94
P2
95
P2
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
P1
99
P2
100
P2
101
Tie
102
P2
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P2
110
P1
111
P1
112
Tie
113
P2
114
Tie
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P2
119
P1
120
P2
121
P1
122
P1
123
Tie
124
Tie
125
P1
126
Tie
127
P1
128
Tie
129
Tie
130
P2
131
Tie
132
P2
133
P2
134
P2
135
P1
136
Tie
137
Tie
138
P2
139
P1
140
P2
141
P1
142
P1
143
Tie
144
P2
145
Tie
146
Tie
147
P1
148
P2
149
P1
150
P2

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