Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #133

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
ELO: 1,000.65 1,000.374 (-0.3)
43
-
50
Tie
127 total rounds
P1 Wins
33.9%
Ties
26.8%
P2 Wins
39.4%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 995 995 (+0.3)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 55
43.7%
Paper 17
13.5%
Scissors 54
42.9%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 34
27.0%
Paper 85
67.5%
Scissors 7
5.6%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
5
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 26.8%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P1
4
P2
5
P1
6
P2
7
Tie
8
P2
9
P2
10
Tie
11
P2
12
P1
13
P2
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P2
22
P1
23
P1
24
P2
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
P2
28
P1
29
Tie
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P2
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P2
41
Tie
42
P2
43
P2
44
P1
45
Tie
46
Tie
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
Tie
54
P2
55
P1
56
P1
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P2
62
P1
63
P2
64
P1
65
P1
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P2
72
P2
73
P1
74
P2
75
P1
76
P2
77
P1
78
Tie
79
P1
80
Tie
81
P1
82
P2
83
Tie
84
P1
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P1
94
P2
95
P1
96
Tie
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P1
100
P2
101
P2
102
P1
103
P2
104
P1
105
P2
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P2
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P1
113
P2
114
P1
115
P1
116
P1
117
P1
118
P1
119
Tie
120
P1
121
P2
122
Tie
123
P2
124
P2
125
P1
126
P2

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