Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #144

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 1
ELO: 1,018.724 1,017.683 (-1.0)
42
-
50
Tie
146 total rounds
P1 Wins
28.8%
Ties
37.0%
P2 Wins
34.2%
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
ELO: 996 997 (+1.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 8 points. With 92 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.3 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 15
10.3%
Paper 76
52.4%
Scissors 54
37.2%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 44
30.3%
Paper 28
19.3%
Scissors 73
50.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 37.0%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P2
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P1
11
P1
12
P2
13
Tie
14
P1
15
P1
16
Tie
17
P1
18
P2
19
P1
20
P1
21
P1
22
P2
23
P1
24
Tie
25
P2
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P1
29
P1
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P1
34
P1
35
Tie
36
Tie
37
P2
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P2
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
P2
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
Tie
52
Tie
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P2
57
Tie
58
P1
59
P2
60
Tie
61
P2
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P1
66
P2
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
P2
72
Tie
73
P2
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
Tie
77
P2
78
Tie
79
Tie
80
P1
81
P2
82
P2
83
P1
84
P2
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P1
89
P2
90
P1
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
Tie
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P1
100
P2
101
P2
102
P2
103
Tie
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P2
107
P1
108
Tie
109
Tie
110
P2
111
Tie
112
Tie
113
Tie
114
P2
115
P2
116
P1
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P2
120
P1
121
P1
122
Tie
123
Tie
124
P1
125
P1
126
P1
127
Tie
128
P2
129
Tie
130
P2
131
P2
132
Tie
133
P1
134
Tie
135
P2
136
Tie
137
P2
138
Tie
139
P2
140
P1
141
P1
142
P1
143
P1
144
P2
145
P2

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