Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #202

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 1
ELO: 990.37 992.246 (+1.9)
44
-
50
Tie
136 total rounds
P1 Wins
32.4%
Ties
30.9%
P2 Wins
36.8%
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
ELO: 1,031 1,029 (-1.9)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 6 points. With 94 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 25
18.5%
Paper 67
49.6%
Scissors 43
31.9%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 41
30.4%
Paper 26
19.3%
Scissors 68
50.4%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
3
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
3
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 30.9%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
P1
3
P2
4
P2
5
P2
6
P1
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
P1
11
Tie
12
Tie
13
P2
14
P1
15
P1
16
P1
17
P2
18
P1
19
Tie
20
P2
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P1
24
P1
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P1
31
Tie
32
P2
33
P2
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
P2
38
P1
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
P1
43
P2
44
P1
45
P1
46
P2
47
Tie
48
P1
49
P2
50
P1
51
Tie
52
P2
53
Tie
54
P1
55
P2
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
Tie
64
P2
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
P2
68
P1
69
P1
70
P2
71
Tie
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P1
75
P2
76
P2
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
P1
81
Tie
82
P1
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P2
86
P1
87
P2
88
P1
89
Tie
90
P2
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
P1
103
P2
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P2
107
P2
108
P1
109
Tie
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
P2
114
P2
115
Tie
116
Tie
117
P1
118
Tie
119
P2
120
Tie
121
Tie
122
Tie
123
P2
124
P2
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
P1
130
P2
131
P1
132
P2
133
Tie
134
Tie
135
P2

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