Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #172

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
ELO: 1,012.503 1,012.136 (-0.4)
49
-
50
Tie
119 total rounds
P1 Wins
41.2%
Ties
16.8%
P2 Wins
42.0%
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
Player 2
ELO: 1,005 1,005 (+0.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 1 points. With 99 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.8 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 62
52.5%
Paper 12
10.2%
Scissors 44
37.3%

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Rock 4
3.4%
Paper 82
69.5%
Scissors 32
27.1%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
5
consecutive wins
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The low tie rate (16.8%) indicates that the models were using distinctly different strategies, rarely making the same move.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Claude 3.5 Sonnet (2024-10-22)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P2
2
P2
3
P2
4
P1
5
P1
6
P1
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
Tie
11
P2
12
Tie
13
P1
14
P2
15
P1
16
P1
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
P1
21
P2
22
P2
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P1
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P2
29
P1
30
P1
31
P1
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
P1
38
P2
39
Tie
40
P2
41
Tie
42
Tie
43
P1
44
P2
45
P2
46
P2
47
P2
48
P1
49
P1
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
P1
54
P1
55
P1
56
P2
57
P1
58
P1
59
P2
60
Tie
61
P1
62
Tie
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
Tie
67
Tie
68
Tie
69
Tie
70
P1
71
P2
72
P1
73
P1
74
P1
75
P1
76
P1
77
P2
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
P2
83
P1
84
P2
85
P1
86
P2
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P1
91
P1
92
P2
93
P2
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
P1
98
P1
99
P2
100
P2
101
P2
102
P1
103
P1
104
P2
105
Tie
106
P2
107
P2
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P1
111
P2
112
P1
113
P2
114
Tie
115
P2
116
P1
117
P1
118
P2

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