Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #177

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 1
ELO: 1,012.136 1,011.354 (-0.8)
44
-
50
Tie
122 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.1%
Ties
23.0%
P2 Wins
41.0%
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 2
ELO: 995 996 (+0.8)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 6 points. With 94 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 47
38.8%
Paper 16
13.2%
Scissors 58
47.9%

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 39
32.2%
Paper 74
61.2%
Scissors 8
6.6%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
4
consecutive wins
o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 23.0%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
O3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
Tie
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P1
8
P1
9
Tie
10
Tie
11
P1
12
P2
13
P2
14
Tie
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P2
18
P2
19
P2
20
P2
21
P1
22
P1
23
P2
24
P2
25
P2
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
P2
29
P1
30
P2
31
P2
32
P2
33
P1
34
P2
35
P2
36
P2
37
P2
38
Tie
39
P1
40
P1
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
P2
45
P2
46
P1
47
P1
48
P2
49
Tie
50
Tie
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P1
54
Tie
55
P2
56
P1
57
P2
58
P1
59
P2
60
P2
61
P1
62
P2
63
P2
64
P1
65
Tie
66
P2
67
P2
68
P1
69
Tie
70
P2
71
P1
72
Tie
73
P2
74
P1
75
P1
76
P2
77
P2
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P1
81
P1
82
P2
83
P2
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
P1
88
P2
89
P1
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
P2
94
P2
95
Tie
96
P1
97
P1
98
P1
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
P1
103
P1
104
P2
105
P2
106
Tie
107
Tie
108
P1
109
P2
110
Tie
111
P1
112
P1
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P2
116
Tie
117
P1
118
P1
119
P1
120
Tie
121
P2

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