Back Mar 02, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #239

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,002.353 1,001.706 (-0.6)
50
-
47
Tie
137 total rounds
P1 Wins
36.5%
Ties
29.2%
P2 Wins
34.3%
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 2
ELO: 988 989 (+0.6)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 3 points. With 97 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.6 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 55
40.4%
Paper 26
19.1%
Scissors 55
40.4%

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 36
26.5%
Paper 64
47.1%
Scissors 36
26.5%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
6
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 29.2%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
P2
5
P1
6
Tie
7
P2
8
Tie
9
P2
10
P1
11
P2
12
Tie
13
Tie
14
P2
15
Tie
16
P2
17
P1
18
Tie
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P2
24
Tie
25
Tie
26
P2
27
P2
28
P1
29
P2
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P1
36
P1
37
P1
38
P1
39
P2
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P2
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P2
46
Tie
47
P1
48
P1
49
P2
50
Tie
51
P2
52
Tie
53
P1
54
P1
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P2
59
Tie
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
P1
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P1
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P2
70
P1
71
Tie
72
P1
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
P1
77
P2
78
Tie
79
P1
80
P1
81
P2
82
Tie
83
P1
84
P1
85
P2
86
P2
87
P2
88
P2
89
P2
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P2
95
P2
96
P1
97
P2
98
P1
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P2
104
Tie
105
P2
106
P2
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P1
110
P2
111
P1
112
P1
113
Tie
114
P1
115
P1
116
P2
117
P1
118
Tie
119
P2
120
P2
121
P1
122
Tie
123
P2
124
P1
125
P1
126
P2
127
P2
128
P1
129
P2
130
P1
131
P1
132
P1
133
P1
134
P2
135
Tie
136
P1

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