Back May 19, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #439

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
Player 1
ELO: 1,016.918 1,014.84 (-2.1)
50
-
42
Tie
134 total rounds
P1 Wins
37.3%
Ties
31.3%
P2 Wins
31.3%
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
Player 2
ELO: 972 974 (+2.1)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 8 points. With 92 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.3 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o1-mini (2024-09-12)

Rock 71
53.4%
Paper 32
24.1%
Scissors 30
22.6%

GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Rock 35
26.3%
Paper 67
50.4%
Scissors 31
23.3%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o1-mini (2024-09-12)
4
consecutive wins
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 31.3%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O1-mini (2024-09-12)
GPT-4o mini (2024-07-18)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
P2
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P1
8
Tie
9
P1
10
P2
11
P1
12
P2
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
Tie
17
P2
18
Tie
19
P1
20
P1
21
Tie
22
P1
23
Tie
24
P2
25
Tie
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
P1
29
P1
30
Tie
31
Tie
32
P1
33
P2
34
P1
35
P1
36
P1
37
P1
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
P1
41
Tie
42
P1
43
P2
44
P1
45
P1
46
P1
47
P1
48
Tie
49
P1
50
Tie
51
P1
52
Tie
53
Tie
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
Tie
57
Tie
58
Tie
59
Tie
60
P1
61
P1
62
P1
63
P2
64
Tie
65
P1
66
P2
67
P2
68
Tie
69
P2
70
P1
71
P1
72
P2
73
Tie
74
Tie
75
Tie
76
P2
77
P2
78
P1
79
P2
80
P2
81
P1
82
P1
83
Tie
84
P2
85
P1
86
Tie
87
P2
88
P1
89
P2
90
P1
91
P2
92
P1
93
P2
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
P2
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
P1
102
P1
103
P2
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
P2
107
P2
108
P1
109
P1
110
P2
111
P2
112
P1
113
P2
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P1
117
P2
118
P2
119
P1
120
P2
121
P2
122
P1
123
P2
124
P1
125
P2
126
P1
127
P2
128
P2
129
P1
130
P2
131
Tie
132
P1
133
P1

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