Back Mar 03, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #260

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
Player 1
ELO: 985.636 989.018 (+3.4)
43
-
50
Tie
144 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.9%
Ties
35.4%
P2 Wins
34.7%
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
Player 2
ELO: 1,060 1,057 (-3.4)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)

Rock 56
39.2%
Paper 71
49.7%
Scissors 16
11.2%

GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Rock 44
30.8%
Paper 28
19.6%
Scissors 71
49.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

o3-mini low (2025-01-31)
3
consecutive wins
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)
7
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 35.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

O3-mini low (2025-01-31)
GPT-4o (2024-11-20)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
Tie
4
Tie
5
P1
6
P1
7
P2
8
P1
9
P1
10
Tie
11
Tie
12
P1
13
Tie
14
Tie
15
P2
16
P1
17
Tie
18
P2
19
Tie
20
P2
21
Tie
22
P1
23
P2
24
P1
25
P2
26
P2
27
P1
28
P2
29
P2
30
P2
31
P1
32
P1
33
P1
34
P2
35
P1
36
Tie
37
P2
38
P2
39
P2
40
P2
41
P2
42
P2
43
P2
44
P1
45
P1
46
Tie
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P2
54
P1
55
P1
56
P2
57
P2
58
P2
59
P2
60
P2
61
Tie
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
Tie
65
Tie
66
P1
67
P2
68
P1
69
Tie
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
P1
73
P2
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P2
77
P1
78
P2
79
P2
80
P2
81
P1
82
Tie
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P1
88
Tie
89
P1
90
P1
91
Tie
92
Tie
93
P1
94
Tie
95
P1
96
P2
97
P1
98
P2
99
P2
100
P1
101
P2
102
P1
103
P1
104
P1
105
Tie
106
P1
107
P1
108
P2
109
P1
110
Tie
111
P2
112
Tie
113
P2
114
P2
115
P2
116
P2
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P1
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P2
125
Tie
126
P1
127
Tie
128
Tie
129
P1
130
Tie
131
Tie
132
Tie
133
P2
134
P1
135
Tie
136
P1
137
Tie
138
Tie
139
P1
140
Tie
141
Tie
142
Tie
143
P2

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