Back May 10, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #300

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 994.901 995.136 (+0.2)
43
-
50
Tie
144 total rounds
P1 Wins
29.9%
Ties
35.4%
P2 Wins
34.7%
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Player 2
ELO: 1,000 1,000 (-0.2)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 7 points. With 93 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.4 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 29
20.3%
Paper 58
40.6%
Scissors 56
39.2%

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Rock 49
34.3%
Paper 83
58.0%
Scissors 11
7.7%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 35.4%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P1
4
Tie
5
P2
6
Tie
7
P2
8
P2
9
P1
10
P1
11
Tie
12
P1
13
P1
14
P1
15
P2
16
P1
17
P1
18
Tie
19
P2
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P1
23
Tie
24
P2
25
P1
26
Tie
27
Tie
28
P2
29
P2
30
P2
31
Tie
32
P1
33
Tie
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P1
37
P1
38
Tie
39
P2
40
Tie
41
P2
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P2
46
P2
47
P1
48
P2
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P1
53
P1
54
Tie
55
P1
56
P1
57
P1
58
P2
59
P1
60
Tie
61
P2
62
Tie
63
Tie
64
P1
65
P1
66
P2
67
Tie
68
P2
69
P1
70
P2
71
Tie
72
P2
73
P1
74
P1
75
P1
76
Tie
77
Tie
78
Tie
79
P2
80
P2
81
P2
82
P2
83
P2
84
Tie
85
Tie
86
P2
87
P1
88
Tie
89
P1
90
P2
91
Tie
92
P2
93
Tie
94
P2
95
P2
96
P2
97
P2
98
Tie
99
P2
100
P2
101
P1
102
Tie
103
P1
104
Tie
105
Tie
106
P1
107
Tie
108
P2
109
P1
110
Tie
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P1
114
P2
115
Tie
116
P1
117
Tie
118
P1
119
Tie
120
P2
121
Tie
122
P2
123
P1
124
P2
125
Tie
126
Tie
127
Tie
128
P2
129
Tie
130
P2
131
P1
132
P1
133
Tie
134
P2
135
P2
136
Tie
137
P2
138
Tie
139
Tie
140
Tie
141
P1
142
P1
143
P2