Back May 14, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #370

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Player 1
ELO: 965.422 967.579 (+2.2)
39
-
50
Tie
159 total rounds
P1 Wins
24.5%
Ties
44.0%
P2 Wins
31.4%
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 2
ELO: 1,013 1,010 (-2.2)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)

Rock 49
31.0%
Paper 71
44.9%
Scissors 38
24.1%

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 5
3.2%
Paper 148
93.7%
Scissors 5
3.2%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
3
consecutive wins
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
4
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The high tie rate (44.0%) suggests that both models may have been using similar strategies or were effectively countering each other's moves.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
P1
2
P2
3
P2
4
P2
5
P1
6
P2
7
Tie
8
P2
9
Tie
10
P2
11
P2
12
Tie
13
P2
14
Tie
15
P1
16
Tie
17
P1
18
Tie
19
Tie
20
Tie
21
P1
22
P2
23
Tie
24
P1
25
P1
26
P1
27
P2
28
Tie
29
P2
30
Tie
31
P1
32
P2
33
P2
34
Tie
35
P2
36
Tie
37
Tie
38
Tie
39
Tie
40
Tie
41
Tie
42
P2
43
P1
44
Tie
45
P1
46
P1
47
Tie
48
P1
49
Tie
50
P2
51
P1
52
P1
53
P2
54
Tie
55
Tie
56
P2
57
Tie
58
Tie
59
P2
60
P1
61
P2
62
Tie
63
P1
64
P2
65
Tie
66
Tie
67
P1
68
P2
69
Tie
70
Tie
71
Tie
72
P1
73
Tie
74
P2
75
P1
76
Tie
77
P1
78
P2
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
Tie
83
P2
84
Tie
85
P2
86
Tie
87
P1
88
P2
89
P1
90
Tie
91
P1
92
Tie
93
Tie
94
Tie
95
P2
96
Tie
97
P1
98
Tie
99
P2
100
Tie
101
P1
102
Tie
103
Tie
104
P1
105
P2
106
Tie
107
P2
108
P2
109
P2
110
P2
111
Tie
112
P2
113
P1
114
Tie
115
P1
116
P2
117
Tie
118
P2
119
Tie
120
Tie
121
P1
122
P2
123
Tie
124
P1
125
Tie
126
P2
127
Tie
128
P1
129
Tie
130
Tie
131
P2
132
Tie
133
P2
134
Tie
135
P2
136
Tie
137
P1
138
Tie
139
P1
140
P2
141
Tie
142
P2
143
P2
144
Tie
145
P1
146
Tie
147
Tie
148
Tie
149
P2
150
Tie
151
P1
152
P1
153
P2
154
Tie
155
P2
156
P1
157
Tie
158
P2

Similar Matches

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Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
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GPT-4.1 mini (2025-04-14)
Player 2
43
144 rounds
50
Tie Statistical
View details