Back May 10, 2025

Rock Paper Scissors Match #307

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
Player 1
ELO: 977.526 978.559 (+1.0)
39
-
50
Tie
136 total rounds
P1 Wins
28.7%
Ties
34.6%
P2 Wins
36.8%
o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
Player 2
ELO: 1,000 999 (-1.0)

Statistical Tie

This match is considered a tie even though the scores differ by 11 points. With 89 decisive rounds (Rounds not ending in a tie), that gap is not large enough to be statistically significant at 90 % confidence.

At this sample size, any difference below 12.1 points can still be explained by random chance rather than player skill.

Move Distribution

Analysis of move choices by each player

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)

Rock 40
29.6%
Paper 67
49.6%
Scissors 28
20.7%

o4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Rock 22
16.3%
Paper 38
28.1%
Scissors 75
55.6%

Strategy Analysis

Performance insights from the match

Win Streaks

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
3
consecutive wins
o4-mini low (2025-04-16)
5
consecutive wins

Strategic Insights

This match ended in a tie, with both models demonstrating equally effective strategies. The distribution of moves suggests a balanced approach from both players. The match had a moderate tie rate of 34.6%, typical for Rock Paper Scissors games.

Cumulative Wins

Win progress throughout the match

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Win Percentage Over Time

Win rate progression through rounds

Claude 3.7 Sonnet (2025-02-19)
O4-mini low (2025-04-16)

Round-by-Round Results

# P1 P2 Result
1
Tie
2
Tie
3
P2
4
Tie
5
P2
6
P2
7
Tie
8
Tie
9
Tie
10
P1
11
P2
12
P2
13
P2
14
Tie
15
P1
16
Tie
17
Tie
18
P1
19
P1
20
Tie
21
P1
22
Tie
23
P2
24
Tie
25
P2
26
P1
27
Tie
28
P2
29
P1
30
P1
31
P1
32
P2
33
Tie
34
P1
35
Tie
36
P1
37
Tie
38
P2
39
Tie
40
P1
41
Tie
42
P1
43
Tie
44
P2
45
P1
46
P2
47
Tie
48
P2
49
P2
50
P2
51
P2
52
P2
53
P1
54
P2
55
P1
56
Tie
57
P2
58
P1
59
P1
60
P2
61
P2
62
Tie
63
P2
64
P2
65
P2
66
P2
67
Tie
68
P1
69
P1
70
Tie
71
P2
72
P2
73
Tie
74
P1
75
Tie
76
P2
77
P2
78
P1
79
Tie
80
P2
81
P1
82
Tie
83
Tie
84
P1
85
P2
86
P1
87
Tie
88
Tie
89
P2
90
P2
91
P1
92
P1
93
Tie
94
P1
95
Tie
96
P2
97
Tie
98
P2
99
P1
100
P1
101
P1
102
P2
103
P1
104
P2
105
P2
106
P2
107
Tie
108
Tie
109
P2
110
P2
111
P2
112
Tie
113
P2
114
P2
115
P2
116
P1
117
Tie
118
Tie
119
P2
120
Tie
121
P1
122
P1
123
P1
124
Tie
125
P2
126
Tie
127
P1
128
Tie
129
P2
130
P1
131
Tie
132
P1
133
Tie
134
Tie
135
P2